Created
November 26, 2012 07:23
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compute expected value of Taiwan invoice
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| =begin | |
| #--- OUTPUT : | |
| 0.1 | |
| 0.02 | |
| 0.005999999999999999 | |
| 0.012 | |
| 0.030000000000000002 | |
| 0.12000000000000001 | |
| 0.3 | |
| 1.0 | |
| "Expected Value : 1.588" | |
| =end | |
| # Value of money | |
| # m = million, t = thousand, h = hundred | |
| v10m = 10000000 | |
| v2m = 2000000 | |
| v200t = 200000 | |
| v40t = 40000 | |
| v10t = 10000 | |
| v4t = 4000 | |
| v1t = 1000 | |
| v2h = 200 | |
| # Probability | |
| p10m = 1.0/100000000 | |
| p2m = 1.0/100000000 | |
| p200t = 3.0/100000000 | |
| p40t = 3.0/10000000 | |
| p10t = 3.0/1000000 | |
| p4t = 3.0/100000 | |
| p1t = 3.0/10000 | |
| p2h = 5.0/1000 | |
| # EV : expected values | |
| p e10m = v10m * p10m | |
| p e2m = v2m * p2m | |
| p e200t = v200t * p200t | |
| p e40t = v40t * p40t | |
| p e10t = v10t * p10t | |
| p e4t = v4t * p4t | |
| p e1t = v1t * p1t | |
| p e2h = v2h * p2h | |
| # Sum of EV | |
| sumEV = e10m+e2m+e200t+e40t+e10t+e4t+e1t+e2h | |
| p "Expected Value : #{sumEV}" |
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